In the past five years, radio has been on a roller coaster of profits and losses. With the digital world entering the age of streaming content, radio’s future has not looked promising for the past few years, and it almost seems as if the radio was left behind when digital media took off. Just 12 months ago, radio experienced its largest quarterly revenue gain since 2000, growing 8% to $4.5 billion in the second quarter of 2010. In fact, the first quarter of 2010 was up a combined 6%, from the first yearly increase since 2007.
Despite the promising numbers, radio’s recovery is slowing down to a sluggish pace. Revenue increased by only 1% in the second quarter this year. According to the Radio Advertising Bureau, radio revenue increased 2% from the first half in 2011 to reach a total of $8.36 billion. The reasonable explanation for this decline is advertisers have slowed down purchasing air time, right…? This much is true. Key advertisers such as retailers and foreign auto brands curbed purchasing, thinking about foreseeable economic challenges. Despite the drop in retailers and foreign auto companies, clients such as Beachbody (makers of P90x), invest tens of millions of dollars into radio as a way to compliment TV spending.
It’s not simply the economic hardships that are curtailing radio’s overall leaps and bounds… Innovations in the radio/media streaming industry also play a large roll in determining radio’s success and increase in audience numbers. Online radio listener-ship has increased tremendously. Popular online streaming service, Pandora, is delivering solid numbers in the top 10 markets among listeners 18-34 years of age. In New York, Pandora has amassed a 0.7 AQH Rating (Average Quarter-Hour), which takes the average number of persons listening to a particular station for at least five minutes during a 15-minute period, and is an estimate of the population being measured. This 0.7 AQH Rating rating appears in the younger demographic, beating out traditional, terrestrial radio stations, Z100 and Hot 97. Now… The strong numbers do not mean advertisers will drop radio like a bad habit and begin to throw money at Pandora… Pandora is simply is personal jukebox, with no DJs, and no on-air personalities, which are fundamental to gaining the trust of the audiences.
In addition to Pandora, Spotify is another music streaming site that has attracted a large amount of online attention due to its recent release (July 2011). Similar to Pandora, users can register for free accounts, which are paid for by visual and radio-style advertising, or they can pay for an account without ads. What makes Spotify different than Pandora is that the paid account allows higher bit-rate streams and offline access to music.
Another innovation that is drawing audiences away from traditional radio, is the sparkling new, Turntable.fm. Turntable is a site where users are in control of the music they play. What makes Turntable an innovative website is that users can enter “chat rooms”, where are there are five DJ positions waiting to be filled. As long as you have another person on the DJ stand with you, you can trade off songs (either from your personal collection or from Turntable’s own collection). The site is still in Beta, and there are no advertisements yet. But like any website, once it finds a viable way to make money, it will. According to the Wall Street Journal…
“Turntable.fm uses a content server called MediaNet to stream the music, and it currently operates under something called the Digital Millennium Copyright Act, or DMCA — the same rights Pandora exercises. Basically, this puts some restrictions on Turntable — like playing more than three songs from one album — but, for now, it is a way to stream single tracks without having deals in place with music publishers.”
Turntable is actually a very cool and interesting place to be. As the electronic/dance music sensation sweeps in the nation, a majority of the chat rooms are occupied with users spinning anything from Kaskade to their homemade mixes. I am sticking with Turntable and will continue to follow its progress, simply because I believe it to be the closest to radio of the two previous sites. Turntable allows the DJs to interact with the users inhabiting a chat room while they provide feedback and entertain each other.
Radio has stiff competition. Sites such as Turntable, Spotify and Pandora do pose a threat… But in the meantime, advertisers still see radio as a viable medium to sell through and reach large audiences. Radio has the advantage of live on-air personalities, which I believe will win advertisers over when it comes to advertising on innovative sites such like Turntable, Spotify and Pandora.